Who toppled Assad? Biden and Netanyahu’s tug-of-war over credit

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Biden and his administration argue they laid the groundwork by relentlessly working to weaken Assad’s key backers—Russia, Iran and Hezbollah. According to their narrative, it was no coincidence that none of Assad’s allies were willing or able to save him

Netanyahu, however, tells a completely different story. He asserts that Assad’s fall was solely due to Israel’s , which Netanyahu called “a turning point in the axis’s collapse.” Israeli officials were quick to note that Netanyahu authorized the strike against U.S. advice, as the Biden administration feared it might trigger a broader war.

Netanyahu did not shy away from criticizing Biden, claiming that the key was his own decision to ignore calls to “end the war before achieving all of our objectives.” His message was clear: had he heeded Biden’s warnings to avoid a wider war, Assad would likely still be in his palace.

The New York Times addressed the matter, with Suzanne Maloney, a Brookings Institution scholar specializing in Iran and the region, suggesting Biden’s claims of creating pressure may hold some truth. However, she emphasized that there was no American plan to overthrow Assad’s government. “I think it is probably true that U.S. policy contributed to the fall of Assad,” she said. “It is probably untoward for the Biden administration to take credit.”

If there was an American contribution, it did not begin with Biden’s presidency. As early as 2011, former President Barack Obama declared that Assad “must step aside.” Two years later, during a visit to Israel, Obama stood alongside Netanyahu and said that Assad had lost all legitimacy. However, there was no concrete plan to oust Assad, and when his regime finally collapsed, the speed of its downfall surprised even U.S. intelligence officials.

National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan arrived in Israel on Thursday amid Syria’s dramatic upheavals. His agenda includes a range of regional issues. Washington insiders say efforts are underway to broker a hostage deal in Gaza and advance normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia, though skepticism remains about achieving these goals in the limited time frame before the next administration assumes office on January 20.

During his meeting with Sullivan, Prime Minister Netanyahu stressed that Israel would take all necessary measures to defend its security against any threat. He explained that this included his directive for the IDF to temporarily take control of the buffer zone in Syria until an effective force is established to enforce the 1974 disengagement agreement.

What about the future of Syria and the United States? President-elect Donald Trump has proposed an entirely different approach. Just days before Assad’s escape, Trump posted on his Truth Social platform a call to action for the U.S.: “Syria is a mess, but is not our friend, & THE UNITED STATES SHOULD HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH IT.”

True to his “America First” philosophy, Trump has not provided a clear solution to the challenges arising from Syria’s collapse, including fears of chemical or biological weapons falling into hostile hands. Some believe this is the moment for Washington to take the lead in shaping Syria’s future. For now, however, the question of whether the U.S. will play an active role in stabilizing the situation in Syria remains unanswered.