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The distribution of operational leverage points in US strategy has changed significantly over the past two decades, with a sharp reduction. Donald Trump’s distancing and repeated criticism of traditional US alliances threaten to undermine the entire architecture of the US presence in the world, beyond the concrete, real and, in particular, industrial impasses of America’s military posture.
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Morgan Paglia, researcher and journalist, is preparing a thesis at the École pratique des hautes études (EPHE) on military foresight and the American strategic debate.
Article available in French only, published in Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 1, Spring 2025.
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Morgan PAGLIA
Intitulé du poste
Former Research Fellow, Security Studies Center
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Ukraine: A Year of Uncertain Peace – Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 1, Spring 2025
Date de publication
04 March 2025
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During his election campaign, Donald Trump promised to settle the war in Ukraine in 24 hours. As the American president settles into the White House, different options are emerging for the future of this conflict. Some are more likely than others, but none can be ruled out. European countries appear increasingly divided over Russia, and the European Union risks paying a high price if it fails to come up with a solid common strategy.
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France Contested in Overseas Territories – Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 1, Spring 2025
Date de publication
04 March 2025
Accroche
New Caledonia, Mayotte: France’s overseas territories were severely shaken in 2024. Beyond explanations of the economic situation, the place of these overseas territories in French policies and strategies is once again being called into question.
Are France’s overseas territories the remnants of an outdated colonialism? Or, on the contrary, are they supports for an extended French presence that the opening-up of the world makes indispensable, and barriers raised here and there against the appetites of new powers? In any case, what policies should the Hexagone pursue in these regions, to promote better development and more effective integration into their environment? And is the legal status of these overseas territories untouchable?
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The Roots of a Quarter-Century of Violence Lie to the East of Congo (Kinshasa)
Date de publication
07 December 2022
Accroche
Almost thirty years after the genocide of the Tutsis in Rwanda, the entire region remains unstable. After Paul Kagame came to power, 1.5 million Hutus fled to the Democratic Republic of the Congo. For the Rwandan president, they represented an unacceptable threat. There then followed the First and Second Congo Wars, the consequences of which are still apparent. The recent attacks perpetrated by the M23 rebels are a new episode in this tragic story.
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The Axis of Resistance: Iran’s Proxies since October 7, 2023
Date de publication
03 December 2024
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The term “Axis of Resistance” refers to the coalition of Iranian proxies in the Middle East. Since Hamas’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023, there has been noticeably greater coordination among these groups, at times without the direct involvement of Tehran. Iraq and Syria are important hubs where members of the Axis meet, exchange ideas, and plan actions. Russia, as part of its continuing struggle against the West, has moved closer to Iran and also to its proxies.
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Trump 2: Challenges for the US Military Posture – Politique étrangère, Vol. 90, No. 1, Spring 2025, from Ifri by