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europe-live:-germany’s-parliament-delays-discussion-on-draft-law-aimed-at-controlling-migration

Europe live: Germany’s parliament delays discussion on draft law aimed at controlling migration

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by

Jakub Krupa
in

Political deadlock comes after Merkel’s intervention – analysis

Kate Connolly

Kate Connolly

in Berlin

The CDU’s parliamentary secretary Thorsten Frei requested the interruption to the plenary session this morning to enable a meeting of the Union faction which was supposed to take half an hour.

Well over an hour since that break was called, we are hearing that the Union is negotiating behind the scenes with both the SPD and the Greens about the possibility of getting a majority without the AfD, by amending the law.

We understand the Greens and SPD have no intention of supporting the law – damaged goods, you might call it. Even if it is amended, there is no way they could give it their backing.

Merz is reported to have told his CDU/CSU MPs this morning:

“We have to weather this storm,” and said the members had to prepare themselves for tough times.

According to some in the Union parliamentary faction, many of the dissenters belonged to Angela Merkel’s ‘camp’.

Were they swayed, or at least felt supported in their reluctance to back the law by Merkel’s public pronouncement yesterday in which she strongly criticised Merz for his U-turn on cooperating with the AfD?

Former German chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at the presentation of her book in Switzerland earlier this week.
Former German chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at the presentation of her book in Switzerland earlier this week. Photograph: Ennio Leanza/EPA

The eagle-eyed Robin Alexander of Die Welt has spotted that Angela Merkel’s biography is now placed on the government’s benches, between the seats of chancellor Olaf Scholz and vice-chancellor Robert Habeck.

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A clear signal to, or probably more accurately a warning for, the CDU/CSU to listen to their former boss.

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After a freezing night out in the open, hundreds of striking Serbian students have resumed their 2-day anti-graft protest march from the capital, Belgrade to the northern city of Novi Sad, the Associated Press reports.

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They plan to blockade three bridges over the River Danube this weekend, marking three months since a huge concrete construction at the railway station in Novi Sad collapsed on Nov. 1, leaving 15 people dead.

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But AP also reported a worrying incident as a driver in Belgrade rammed their car into silent protest, slightly injuring a woman, the third such incident in weeks.

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march through the fields in northern Serbia.”,”caption”:”Students march through the fields in northern Serbia.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Armin Durgut/AP”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738326644000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.30 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738328168000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.56 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738326981000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.36 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.36″,”title”:”Serbian students continue protest ahead of blockade of Danube bridges”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679cc0d88f088599f080f804″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

in Berlin

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German media is reporting the first poll to emerge since the Bundestag showdown on Wednesday shows that Merz’s CDU/CSU has fallen by 1 percentage point, to 29%, while the SPD of Olaf Scholz has gained 1.5 points, bringing it to 17%, its best result since the end of December.

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The AfD remains stable at 22%. The Greens have gained half a percentage point. The poll was carried out for INSA, exclusively for the tabloid Bild.

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chancellor Olaf Scholz seen in parliament earlier today.”,”caption”:”German chancellor Olaf Scholz seen in parliament earlier today.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Nadja Wohlleben/Reuters”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738326232000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.23 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738326476000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.27 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738326476000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.27 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.27″,”title”:”First poll shows Scholz’s SDP up after Wednesday’s vote”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Kate Connolly”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/06/04/Kate-Connolly.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=2c24e9976ec512539e04ddebf11921f9″,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/06/04/Kate_Connolly,_L.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=229e118186855645212769324f29a11d”}],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679cbd498f083390b0b9739a”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Meanwhile, it looks like there may have been a breakthrough in budgetary discussions in France.

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Reuters is reporting that Boris Vallaud from the Socialist party said that French lawmakers’ panel has reached an agreement regarding the budget.

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The agreed budget is likely to be put to vote on Monday.

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You can read more about the process in this update from our yesterday’s blog (13:07).

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Vallaud, left, during a parliamentary session at the National Assembly earlier this week.”,”caption”:”Boris Vallaud, left, during a parliamentary session at the National Assembly earlier this week.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Stéphane de Sakutin/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738325321000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.08 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738325652000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.14 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738325652000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.14 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.14″,”title”:”Breakthrough in budgetary talks in France”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679cbbcc8f087e3163c31c12″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

in Berlin

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The CDU’s parliamentary secretary Thorsten Frei requested the interruption to the plenary session this morning to enable a meeting of the Union faction which was supposed to take half an hour.

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Well over an hour since that break was called, we are hearing that the Union is negotiating behind the scenes with both the SPD and the Greens about the possibility of getting a majority without the AfD, by amending the law.

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We understand the Greens and SPD have no intention of supporting the law – damaged goods, you might call it. Even if it is amended, there is no way they could give it their backing.

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Merz is reported to have told his CDU/CSU MPs this morning:

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“We have to weather this storm,” and said the members had to prepare themselves for tough times.

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According to some in the Union parliamentary faction, many of the dissenters belonged to Angela Merkel’s ‘camp’.

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Were they swayed, or at least felt supported in their reluctance to back the law by Merkel’s public pronouncement yesterday in which she strongly criticised Merz for his U-turn on cooperating with the AfD?

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German chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at the presentation of her book in Switzerland earlier this week.”,”caption”:”Former German chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at the presentation of her book in Switzerland earlier this week.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Ennio Leanza/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:true,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738324940000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”07.02 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738325287000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”07.08 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738325288000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”07.08 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”07.08″,”title”:”Political deadlock comes after Merkel’s intervention – analysis”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Kate Connolly”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/06/04/Kate-Connolly.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=2c24e9976ec512539e04ddebf11921f9″,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2018/06/04/Kate_Connolly,_L.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=229e118186855645212769324f29a11d”}],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679cba0e8f0855c76b565c9f”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Trickling out of the corridors of the Bundestag is the news that the mood has decidedly changed regarding the so-called influx limitation law that Friedrich Merz was hoping to get through the Bundestag.

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A majority vote is looking unlikely largely due to the fact that the liberal FDP want to have the vote postponed and to have it returned to where it originated – the interior committee.

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The SPD is likely to agree to postpone the vote, as are the Greens.

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Several dissenters, not only in the CDU/CSU but among the FDP have raised their heads to object to the law’s progress. The FDP’s parliamentary group leader Christian Dürr has signalled that he doesn’t want to have a final vote on the law until 11 February, at the next meeting of the Bundestag, and 12 days ahead of the general election.

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leader of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz stands together with the parliamentary group leader of the CSU and party colleagues during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.”,”caption”:”The leader of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz stands together with the parliamentary group leader of the CSU and party colleagues during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Odd Andersen/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738324494000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”06.54 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738324639000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”06.57 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738324639000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”06.57 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”06.57″,”title”:”Mood shift in the Bundestag with majority vote looking ‘unlikely’”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Kate 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in Berlin

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If the debate fails today, and it might, this will probably be put down to do with the huge pressure that the MPs are feeling from the electorate, including the protests last night.

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There’s as yet no poll reflecting the public’s reaction to the events on Wednesday. They will be interesting to see.

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The person speaking to the visitors in the public gallery has just given us the latest update, also for the press (thank you!), saying that essentially everyone is in various meetings right now and it may take a while before they come back.

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“We will not move forward until the parliamentary groups have clarity as to which proposals are going to be brought forward today… or whether there is going to be further discussion in the Bundestag committees,” she said.

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She added that she was “internally preparing” that this could take a while to resolve and end up with a late finish.

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of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party Friedrich Merz leaves his office after talks on the faction level.”,”caption”:”Chairman of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party Friedrich Merz leaves his office after talks on the faction level.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Clemens Bilan/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738322917000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”06.28 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738323102000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”06.31 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738323103000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”06.31 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”06.31″,”title”:”Party groups in meetings as they try to agree on what’s next”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679cadb68f0855c76b565bbf”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

In a kind update to visitors to the Bundestag’s public gallery, a voice in the chamber has just said that they are obviously very welcome, but may need to be patient for a bit longer.

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Two parliamentary groups are now in faction meetings discussing the rest of the day, she said.

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But she reassured the visitors that she’s very happy they are there.

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And so am I, with all of you staying with Europe live!

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German media are reporting a number of frantic meetings behind the scenes, with CDU/CSU leader, and potential future chancellor, Friedrich Merz, reportedly meeting with the SPD and the Greens.

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Elsewhere, the liberal FDP party leader, Christian Lindner, is suggesting sending the draft back to committee to avoid having a showdown today and delay the crunch vote until mid-February.

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This may take a while, but shows how seriously so many in the Bundestag take the integrity of the “firewall” as they desperately want to avoid passing a draft law with the votes of the far-right Alternative für Deutschland.

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German health minister and member of Germany’s CDU/CSU Jens Spahn leans on a photocopier as he makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.”,”caption”:”Former German health minister and member of Germany’s CDU/CSU Jens Spahn leans on a photocopier as he makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Tobias Schwarz/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738320653000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”05.50 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738321179000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”05.59 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738321180000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”05.59 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”05.59″,”title”:”Frantic behind the scenes talks in Bundestag”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679ca95f8f082de27d7ffd5d”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

In case you’re wondering: yes, they’re still not back at the Bundestag.

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Most lawmakers are not even in the chamber, but some are catching up on phone calls and social media to kill some time.

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I will bring you the latest when the Sitzungsunterbrechung is over.

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of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Tino Chrupalla makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.”,”caption”:”Co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Tino Chrupalla makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Tobias Schwarz/AFP/Getty Images”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738320223000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”05.43 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738320501000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”05.48 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738320501000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”05.48 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”05.48″,”title”:”Bundestag delays continue”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679ca6e48f087e3163c31ade”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Danish foreign minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen has just been speaking to the country’s public broadcaster, DR, and offered his reaction to Marco Rubio’s words on Greenland overnight.

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He said that “the substance” of the interview was that the US was ready to talk about its demands, but insisted Greenland was not for sale and its future would have to be decided by Greenlanders (and they don’t seem too keen.)

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The minister said that under domestic and international law, Denmark could not sell Greenland even if it wanted to.

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“In 1917, we sold the West Indies without asking the people there. We cannot do that in a modern society, and we will not,” he is quoted saying.

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Denmark sold the West Indies to the US, which renamed it as the US Virgin Islands, for $25m (equivalent to just over $600m in 2024 terms if the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis’s calculator is to be trusted.)

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Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen addresses the media in Copenhagen earlier this week.”,”caption”:”Danish Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen addresses the media in Copenhagen earlier this week.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Tom Little/Reuters”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738319588000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”05.33 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738320218000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”05.43 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738320218000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”05.43 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”05.43″,”title”:”We can’t and won’t sell Greenland, Danish foreign minister insists”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679ca0c68f087e3163c31a75″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

in Berlin

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The Bundestag debate has been delayed for half an hour on request of the CDU, thought to be to do with misgivings within the party over the debate, not least due to large numbers of protesters outside the CDU headquarters in Berlin.

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protest against conservative German chancellor candidate Friedrich Merz’s migration plansPeople protest in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party headquarters last night.”,”caption”:”Activists protest against conservative German chancellor candidate Friedrich Merz’s migration plans
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CDU/CSU’s Thorsten Frei has just asked for a 30-minute break to allow for a meeting of the parliamentary party before we move ahead with the Influx Limitation Act debate.

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So we will have a further delay here.

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Frei walks after leaving the office of CDU leader Friedrich Merz at the Bundestag.”,”caption”:”Thorsten Frei walks after leaving the office of CDU leader Friedrich Merz at the Bundestag.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Liesa Johannssen/Reuters”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738317650000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”05.00 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738317996000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”05.06 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738317996000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”05.06 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”05.06″,”title”:”Bundestag debate on migration draft law delayed”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679c937e8f084dac099e3ad1″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Almost half of Danish people now consider the US to be a considerable threat to their country and the overwhelming majority oppose Greenland leaving to become part of the US, new polling has found.

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The research by YouGov, shared exclusively with the Guardian, comes after weeks of tension between Denmark, Greenland and the US over Donald Trump’s repeated assertions that he plans to take control of the autonomous territory, which is part of the Danish kingdom.

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The poll of just over 1,000 people in Denmark, conducted between 15 and 22 January, found that 46% considered the US to be either “a very big threat” or “a fairly big threat” to Denmark.

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This is higher than the number who said they considered North Korea or Iran a threat – of which 44% and 40% did respectively.

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But the threat of Russia remains considerably higher; 86% of respondents said they considered Moscow a threat.

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Of those surveyed, 78% said they would oppose Greenland being sold to the US, but 72% said the final decision should be Greenland’s, not Denmark’s.

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Miranda Bryant with the full story.

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Danish fan holds the flag of Greenland before the IHF Men’s Handball World Championship quarterfinal match between Denmark and Brazil at Unity Arena in Oslo on Wednesday.”,”caption”:”A Danish fan holds the flag of Greenland before the IHF Men’s Handball World Championship quarterfinal match between Denmark and Brazil at Unity Arena in Oslo on Wednesday.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Bo Amstrup/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738314622000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”04.10 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738315254000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”04.20 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738315254000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”04.20 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”04.20″,”title”:”Danes see US a bigger threat than North Korea, Iran – poll”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679c8efb8f084dac099e3aaf”,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

US state secretary Marco Rubio confirmed overnight that the US interest in Greenland is genuine and “not a joke.”

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n

This is not about acquiring land for the purpose of acquiring land. This is in our national interest and it needs to be solved.

n

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Speaking to Sirius XM, he said that as Greenland was already covered by the Nato mutual defence pact given its relationship with Denmark, it only strenghtened the US resolve to control it.

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Here is his explanation in full:

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n

The Arctic has some of the most valuable shipping lanes in the world and as some of the ice is melting, they become more and more navigable and we need to be able to defend that.

n

The Chinese are not an Arctic power, … so they need to be able to have somewhere to stage from.

n

It is completely realistic that the Chinese will try to do in Greenland what they have done at the Panama Canal and other places: install facilities that get them cover to the Arctic, with the cover of a Chinese company, but then in reality that would serve a dual purpose that in a moment of conflict they could send naval vessels to that facility and operate from there, and that is completely unacceptable to the security of the world and the national security of the US.

n

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n

Denmark can’t stop them, they would rely on the US to do so. So if the US is on the hook … as we are now … then we might as well have more control over what happens there.

n

I know it’s a delicate topic for Denmark, but it’s again a national interest item for the United States.

n

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He declined to say if president Trump would succeed in buying Greenland (or restoring US authority over the Panama Canal), but insisted:

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n

What I think you can rest assured of is that four years from now, our interest in the Arctic will be more secure; our interest in the Panama Canal will be more secure.

n

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protester holds a sign reading “If the AFD is the answer, how stupid was the question?” in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party headquarters.”,”caption”:”A protester holds a sign reading “If the AFD is the answer, how stupid was the question?” in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party headquarters.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Christian Mang/Reuters”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Speaking about that dilemma of how mainstream parties could or should deal with the far-right, Eleni Courea has the details of a new research that could give CDU/CSU’s Friedrich Merz some food for thought.

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Voters in western democracies are turning away from mainstream political parties and towards populists because they are losing faith in their ability to implement meaningful change, a major report based on surveys of 12,000 voters has found.

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The popularity of traditional centre-left and centre-right parties across major democratic countries has plummeted from 73% in 2000 to 51% today, according to research by the Tony Blair Institute.

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Researchers looked in depth at the views of samples of 2,000 voters polled in each of six big democracies – the UK, US, Australia, Germany, France and Canada – and found they were “remarkably similar”.

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They concluded that voters were increasingly turning away from centre-left and centre-right parties not for ideological reasons, but because confidence in their competence and integrity have plummeted.

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protester holds a sign reading “No CDU. Fascists never stop been fascists. History has shown that you don’t argue with them” in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party headquarters.”,”caption”:”A protester holds a sign reading “No CDU. Fascists never stop been fascists. 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gather during a rally in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party’s headquarters.”,”caption”:”Protesters gather during a rally in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party’s headquarters.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Hannibal Hanschke/EPA”}}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738311074000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”03.11 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738311275000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”03.14 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738311275000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”03.14 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”03.14″,”title”:”Berlin protest against CDU/CSU’s migration policy – in pictures”,”contributors”:[],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”},{“id”:”679c7eab8f088478fa0ca9f5″,”elements”:[{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The focus is back on Germany today, where the Bundestag will discuss the Influx Limitation Act, a draft law aimed at controlling migration better by tightening the rules in the existing laws on residence.

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This is not a drill: unlike the vote on Wednesday, which was on a non-binding motion, this is an actual draft law.

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Even if it is almost impossible for it to complete the legislative process before next month’s election, it sends a strong signal of intent and marks another milestone in German politics. And you can feel the tensions rising every day now.

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On Thursday, former chancellor Angela Merkel has criticised CDU/CSU leader, and likely future chancellor, Friedrich Merz, for breaking the “firewall” and passing the motion on Wednesday with the help of the far-right Alternative für Deutschland.

“,”elementId”:”73716ee9-61eb-4d4b-9acc-1e6c454cfefd”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”Angela Merkel rebukes CDU leader for alliance with far-right on immigration”,”elementId”:”ba9de483-8b5f-4e98-acef-8ef27e9b125f”,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jan/30/angela-merkel-rebukes-successor-for-alliance-with-far-right-afd-on-anti-immigration-motion”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Separately, Auschwitz survivors criticised the vote, which one of them, Albrecht Weinberg, saying directly: “What happened in the Bundestag on Wednesday reminded me of Germany in 1933 of how Hitler and the Nazi party managed to come to power through legitimate means.”

“,”elementId”:”79ba8ab2-e7d1-4332-b266-ef6b8de5430d”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”‘Did they learn nothing?’: Auschwitz survivor to return German honour over AfD vote role”,”elementId”:”5de1ae8c-be4a-4f97-84cd-685673aa6d90″,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/jan/30/albrecht-weinberg-auschwitz-survivor-return-german-honour-over-afd-vote-role”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

On Thursday night, a big group of protesters also showed up in front of the CDU/CSU headquarters to express their frustration.

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gather during a rally in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party’s headquarters in Berlin.”,”caption”:”Protesters gather during a rally in front of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party’s headquarters in Berlin.”,”credit”:”Photograph: Hannibal Hanschke/EPA”}},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

For Merz, there is no easy way out. If he passes the draft law once again relying on the AfD votes, he will get more criticism in the final three weeks of the campaign. But if he suddenly fails to get a majority, he will appear weak and incapable of delivering on his promises.

“,”elementId”:”242ef021-3eb3-417d-916c-23b9d9925a7f”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Merz faces a perennial question of how to deal with the rise of the far right and whether more mainstream parties can make a dent in their electoral prospects by taking some of their language and ideas. But the fifth anniversary of Brexit today reminds us how it can end.

“,”elementId”:”fc987be7-7210-44da-8c86-3241c1d00810″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.RichLinkBlockElement”,”prefix”:”Related: “,”text”:”German election 2025 poll tracker: which party is leading and who could be chancellor?”,”elementId”:”e21e1a0d-62dd-401e-aa99-ae4b67b788ef”,”role”:”thumbnail”,”url”:”https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2025/jan/07/german-election-2025-opinion-poll-tracker-bundestag-chancellor”},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

The debate on the proposal 20/12804 is scheduled to start 10:30am. We will bring you the latest.

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There is also plenty of stories elsewhere in Europe, so it’s likely to be a lively one!

“,”elementId”:”2943b699-2956-464d-b764-c713a9c04be1″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

It’s Friday, 31 January 2025, and this is Europe live. It’s Jakub Krupa here.

“,”elementId”:”0604829f-3812-4ee5-ac9f-cfb9fbf8c287″},{“_type”:”model.dotcomrendering.pageElements.TextBlockElement”,”html”:”

Good morning.

“,”elementId”:”994d0f59-fe78-4150-b826-b01208676c19″}],”attributes”:{“pinned”:false,”keyEvent”:true,”summary”:false},”blockCreatedOn”:1738310620000,”blockCreatedOnDisplay”:”03.03 EST”,”blockLastUpdated”:1738310615000,”blockLastUpdatedDisplay”:”03.03 EST”,”blockFirstPublished”:1738310620000,”blockFirstPublishedDisplay”:”03.03 EST”,”blockFirstPublishedDisplayNoTimezone”:”03.03″,”title”:”Morning opening: Influx Limitation Act”,”contributors”:[{“name”:”Jakub Krupa”,”imageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2025/01/22/Jakub_Krupa.jpg?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=41cc9981ec7b067e2d3b5391c5a68a4f”,”largeImageUrl”:”https://i.guim.co.uk/img/uploads/2025/01/22/Jakub_Krupa.png?width=300&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=4a039a2b765744058f3c2c677268513e”}],”primaryDateLine”:”Fri 31 Jan 2025 07.56 EST”,”secondaryDateLine”:”First published on Fri 31 Jan 2025 03.03 EST”}],”filterKeyEvents”:false,”id”:”key-events-carousel-mobile”,”absoluteServerTimes”:false,”renderingTarget”:”Web”}”>

Key events

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And yes, we are still waiting.

Chairman of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party and faction Friedrich Merz and Christian Social Union (CSU) regional group chairman in the German parliament Bundestag Alexander Dobrindt (C-L) leave Merz's office after talks.
Chairman of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party and faction Friedrich Merz and Christian Social Union (CSU) regional group chairman in the German parliament Bundestag Alexander Dobrindt (C-L) leave Merz’s office after talks. Photograph: Clemens Bilan/EPA

Merkel’s biography placed on government benches as a signal to CDU/CSU

The eagle-eyed Robin Alexander of Die Welt has spotted that Angela Merkel’s biography is now placed on the government’s benches, between the seats of chancellor Olaf Scholz and vice-chancellor Robert Habeck.

A clear signal to, or probably more accurately a warning for, the CDU/CSU to listen to their former boss.

Auf der Regierungsbank liegt die Biografie von Angela Merkel. Zwischen den Plätzen von Scholz und Habeck. (via @MelAmann) https://t.co/W63eK921D3 pic.twitter.com/rbSnzsalJc

— Robin Alexander (@robinalexander_) January 31, 2025

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Serbian students continue protest ahead of blockade of Danube bridges

After a freezing night out in the open, hundreds of striking Serbian students have resumed their 2-day anti-graft protest march from the capital, Belgrade to the northern city of Novi Sad, the Associated Press reports.

They plan to blockade three bridges over the River Danube this weekend, marking three months since a huge concrete construction at the railway station in Novi Sad collapsed on Nov. 1, leaving 15 people dead.

But AP also reported a worrying incident as a driver in Belgrade rammed their car into silent protest, slightly injuring a woman, the third such incident in weeks.

Students walk towards the northern city of Novi Sad, where they will participate in a 24 hour block of three bridges to protest the deaths of 15 people killed in the November collapse of a train station canopy.
Students walk towards the northern city of Novi Sad, where they will participate in a 24 hour block of three bridges to protest the deaths of 15 people killed in the November collapse of a train station canopy. Photograph: Darko Vojinović/AP
An aerial view of students sleeping in their tents on a football stadium as they take part in a march and protest over the Novi Sad canopy collapse.
An aerial view of students sleeping in their tents on a football stadium as they take part in a march and protest over the Novi Sad canopy collapse. Photograph: Armin Durgut/AP
Students march through the fields in northern Serbia.
Students march through the fields in northern Serbia. Photograph: Armin Durgut/AP

First poll shows Scholz’s SDP up after Wednesday’s vote

Kate Connolly

Kate Connolly

in Berlin

German media is reporting the first poll to emerge since the Bundestag showdown on Wednesday shows that Merz’s CDU/CSU has fallen by 1 percentage point, to 29%, while the SPD of Olaf Scholz has gained 1.5 points, bringing it to 17%, its best result since the end of December.

The AfD remains stable at 22%. The Greens have gained half a percentage point. The poll was carried out for INSA, exclusively for the tabloid Bild.

German chancellor Olaf Scholz seen in parliament earlier today.
German chancellor Olaf Scholz seen in parliament earlier today. Photograph: Nadja Wohlleben/Reuters

Jakub Krupa

Jakub Krupa

Back to Germany, we’re hearing that there is a chance we could be back under way at 1.30pm.

Let’s see.

Note that this breakthrough in budgetary talks is by all means not the end of the drama in Paris: as our correspondent, Angelique Chrisafis, explained yesterday:

The national assembly remains politically divided and the government does not have an absolute majority. Without majority backing, Bayrou may decide to use article 49.3 of the constitution, which allows a government to force through legislation without a vote in parliament.

This would probably cause opposition lawmakers to trigger a vote of no-confidence later next week, potentially on Wednesday.

French prime minister Francois Bayrou in Parliament in Paris earlier this week.
French prime minister Francois Bayrou in Parliament in Paris earlier this week. Photograph: Andrea Savorani Neri/NurPhoto/REX/Shutterstock

Breakthrough in budgetary talks in France

Meanwhile, it looks like there may have been a breakthrough in budgetary discussions in France.

Reuters is reporting that Boris Vallaud from the Socialist party said that French lawmakers’ panel has reached an agreement regarding the budget.

The agreed budget is likely to be put to vote on Monday.

You can read more about the process in this update from our yesterday’s blog (13:07).

Boris Vallaud, left, during a parliamentary session at the National Assembly earlier this week.
Boris Vallaud, left, during a parliamentary session at the National Assembly earlier this week. Photograph: Stéphane de Sakutin/AFP/Getty Images

Political deadlock comes after Merkel’s intervention – analysis

Kate Connolly

Kate Connolly

in Berlin

The CDU’s parliamentary secretary Thorsten Frei requested the interruption to the plenary session this morning to enable a meeting of the Union faction which was supposed to take half an hour.

Well over an hour since that break was called, we are hearing that the Union is negotiating behind the scenes with both the SPD and the Greens about the possibility of getting a majority without the AfD, by amending the law.

We understand the Greens and SPD have no intention of supporting the law – damaged goods, you might call it. Even if it is amended, there is no way they could give it their backing.

Merz is reported to have told his CDU/CSU MPs this morning:

“We have to weather this storm,” and said the members had to prepare themselves for tough times.

According to some in the Union parliamentary faction, many of the dissenters belonged to Angela Merkel’s ‘camp’.

Were they swayed, or at least felt supported in their reluctance to back the law by Merkel’s public pronouncement yesterday in which she strongly criticised Merz for his U-turn on cooperating with the AfD?

Former German chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at the presentation of her book in Switzerland earlier this week.
Former German chancellor Angela Merkel speaks at the presentation of her book in Switzerland earlier this week. Photograph: Ennio Leanza/EPA

Mood shift in the Bundestag with majority vote looking ‘unlikely’

Kate Connolly

Kate Connolly

Trickling out of the corridors of the Bundestag is the news that the mood has decidedly changed regarding the so-called influx limitation law that Friedrich Merz was hoping to get through the Bundestag.

A majority vote is looking unlikely largely due to the fact that the liberal FDP want to have the vote postponed and to have it returned to where it originated – the interior committee.

The SPD is likely to agree to postpone the vote, as are the Greens.

Several dissenters, not only in the CDU/CSU but among the FDP have raised their heads to object to the law’s progress. The FDP’s parliamentary group leader Christian Dürr has signalled that he doesn’t want to have a final vote on the law until 11 February, at the next meeting of the Bundestag, and 12 days ahead of the general election.

The leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz stands together with the parliamentary group leader of the CSU and party colleagues during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.
The leader of Germany’s Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Friedrich Merz stands together with the parliamentary group leader of the CSU and party colleagues during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag. Photograph: Odd Andersen/AFP/Getty Images

German lawmakers feeling pressure from the electorate – snap analysis

Kate Connolly

Kate Connolly

in Berlin

If the debate fails today, and it might, this will probably be put down to do with the huge pressure that the MPs are feeling from the electorate, including the protests last night.

There’s as yet no poll reflecting the public’s reaction to the events on Wednesday. They will be interesting to see.

Party groups in meetings as they try to agree on what’s next

The person speaking to the visitors in the public gallery has just given us the latest update, also for the press (thank you!), saying that essentially everyone is in various meetings right now and it may take a while before they come back.

“We will not move forward until the parliamentary groups have clarity as to which proposals are going to be brought forward today… or whether there is going to be further discussion in the Bundestag committees,” she said.

She added that she was “internally preparing” that this could take a while to resolve and end up with a late finish.

Chairman of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party Friedrich Merz leaves his office after talks on the faction level.
Chairman of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party Friedrich Merz leaves his office after talks on the faction level. Photograph: Clemens Bilan/EPA

Jakub Krupa

Jakub Krupa

It is highly commendable that on the exact fifth anniversary of Brexit, the German parliament has decided to commemorate it with a session that has the feel of the British parliament during the Brexit years.

Constant interruptions, parliamentary groups meeting behind the scenes to talk about what to do with immigration, and a lot of time you’re just waiting for things to happen.

And there are now even fewer lawmakers in the chamber than before.

Vice-president of the Bundestag Wolfgang Kubicki reading his papers (or a book?) in the Bundestag, waiting.
Vice-president of the Bundestag Wolfgang Kubicki reading his papers (or a book?) in the Bundestag, waiting. Photograph: Nadja Wohlleben/Reuters

Thank you for your patience, visitors to Bundestag told

Jakub Krupa

Jakub Krupa

In a kind update to visitors to the Bundestag’s public gallery, a voice in the chamber has just said that they are obviously very welcome, but may need to be patient for a bit longer.

Two parliamentary groups are now in faction meetings discussing the rest of the day, she said.

But she reassured the visitors that she’s very happy they are there.

And so am I, with all of you staying with Europe live!

Frantic behind the scenes talks in Bundestag

German media are reporting a number of frantic meetings behind the scenes, with CDU/CSU leader, and potential future chancellor, Friedrich Merz, reportedly meeting with the SPD and the Greens.

Elsewhere, the liberal FDP party leader, Christian Lindner, is suggesting sending the draft back to committee to avoid having a showdown today and delay the crunch vote until mid-February.

This may take a while, but shows how seriously so many in the Bundestag take the integrity of the “firewall” as they desperately want to avoid passing a draft law with the votes of the far-right Alternative für Deutschland.

Former German health minister and member of Germany's CDU/CSU Jens Spahn leans on a photocopier as he makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.
Former German health minister and member of Germany’s CDU/CSU Jens Spahn leans on a photocopier as he makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag. Photograph: Tobias Schwarz/AFP/Getty Images

Bundestag delays continue

In case you’re wondering: yes, they’re still not back at the Bundestag.

Most lawmakers are not even in the chamber, but some are catching up on phone calls and social media to kill some time.

I will bring you the latest when the Sitzungsunterbrechung is over.

Co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Tino Chrupalla makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag.
Co-leader of the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party Tino Chrupalla makes a phone call during an interruption of a debate at the Bundestag. Photograph: Tobias Schwarz/AFP/Getty Images

We can’t and won’t sell Greenland, Danish foreign minister insists

Danish foreign minister Lars Løkke Rasmussen has just been speaking to the country’s public broadcaster, DR, and offered his reaction to Marco Rubio’s words on Greenland overnight.

He said that “the substance” of the interview was that the US was ready to talk about its demands, but insisted Greenland was not for sale and its future would have to be decided by Greenlanders (and they don’t seem too keen.)

The minister said that under domestic and international law, Denmark could not sell Greenland even if it wanted to.

“In 1917, we sold the West Indies without asking the people there. We cannot do that in a modern society, and we will not,” he is quoted saying.

Denmark sold the West Indies to the US, which renamed it as the US Virgin Islands, for $25m (equivalent to just over $600m in 2024 terms if the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis’s calculator is to be trusted.)

Danish Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen addresses the media in Copenhagen earlier this week.
Danish Foreign Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen addresses the media in Copenhagen earlier this week. Photograph: Tom Little/Reuters

I mentioned Brexit earlier (sorry!).

The German economic daily Handesblatt is not mincing its words in discussing UK public attitudes to Brexit five years on.

After quoting the legendary British pollster, John Curtice, as saying that most Britons regret the decision but do not necessarily want to reverse it, the paper said in its morning newsletter:

“It is a contradiction that can probably only be understood in a country where having a tap with cold water and another with boiling hot water is considered the same as having running hot water.”

Ouch.

German chancellor Olaf Scholz will be in London on Sunday, before Keir Starmer goes across the Channel on Monday to enjoy a “working dinner” with EU leaders as part of their informal retreat at the Palais d’Egmont in Brussels.

Brexit supporters celebrate during a rally in London on 31 January 2020.
Brexit supporters celebrate during a rally in London on 31 January 2020. Photograph: Frank Augstein/AP

So, in the meantime, elsewhere in Europe…

Norwegian police said on Friday they had arrested a Norwegian ship with an all-Russian crew on suspicion of involvement in causing damage to a fibre optic cable in the Baltic Sea, Reuters reports.

The arrest took place at the request of Latvian authorities, the police in the northern Norwegian city of Tromsoe said.

“It is suspected that the ship has been involved in serious damage to a fibre cable in the Baltic Sea between Latvia and Sweden,” the police said in a statement.

The Norwegian-owned and flagged vessel, named as Silver Dania, had been sailing from St. Petersburg in the Baltic Sea to Murmansk in the Russian Arctic, police said.

Crew members aboard a French Navy Atlantique 2 surveillance plane patrolling the Baltic Sea as part of the Nato’s mission to protect undersea cables and pipelines from sabotage, pictured last week.
Crew members aboard a French Navy Atlantique 2 surveillance plane patrolling the Baltic Sea as part of the Nato’s mission to protect undersea cables and pipelines from sabotage, pictured last week. Photograph: John Leicester/AP