Long-term themes and issues – asadkhone

China Rapid Response

China Politburo Meeting (Apr. 24)

China’s senior leadership has today signalled further fiscal and monetary support for the economy and renewed efforts to stabilise the housing market. That should help prolong the recent economic…

30th April 2024 3 mins read

India Economics Weekly

Extreme weather and AI risks in the spotlight

There has been more good news on India’s economy over the past couple of weeks, but two key near and medium-term risks that we have previously highlighted – extreme weather and the emergence of…

26th April 2024 3 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

Egypt’s privatisation drive, dollarisation in Lebanon

Egypt’s latest privatisation drive appears to have stalled after targets were watered down. The government doesn’t face the same need to secure revenues as it did recently, but privatisation is still…

25th April 2024 7 mins read

India Chart Pack

India Chart Pack (Apr. 2024)

Our India Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. India has been the star performer among major EMs over the past several quarters and the latest data…

24th April 2024 1 min read

Emerging Markets Economics Update

“Turnaround EMs”: good start but plenty more to do

The policy shifts underway in Turkey, Nigeria, Argentina and Egypt have ticked a lot of the right boxes so far, but it will take years for the full economic benefits to materialise and require…

24th April 2024 5 mins read

Long Run Asset Allocation Outlook

Life after the bubble

The latest edition of our Long-Run Asset Allocation Outlook sets out what we think lies in store for equities, bonds, REITs, and commodities over the next 10 years and beyond. This includes relatively…

24th April 2024 21 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

Iran-Israel tensions, Gulf floods, Egypt’s preliminary budget

The ratcheting up of tensions between Iran and Israel has raised concerns about a broader regional conflict. For now, it seems unlikely that the Gulf states will get drawn in unless there is a serious…

18th April 2024 6 mins read

India Economics Weekly

Manufacturing ambitions across the political spectrum

The general election kicks off in a week and manifestos are finally being released. Manifestos are rarely followed closely in India, but nevertheless it is encouraging that there is broad agreement…

12th April 2024 4 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

Egypt’s policy shift, Saudi gigaprojects, Morocco GDP

Just over a month ago Egypt’s authorities underwent their dramatic shift to economic orthodoxy and the signs so far are more positive than in previous instances. The pound is more flexible, inflation…

12th April 2024 7 mins read

Japan Economics Update

A close race for fourth place

The slump in the yen has resulted in Germany overtaking Japan as the world’s 3rd largest economy at market exchange rates. We expect Japan to overtake Germany yet again in the early 2030s as the yen…

9th April 2024 4 mins read

India Economics Weekly

Indian bulls rage while elephants go for a walk

Positive news on India’s economy continues to roll in and that is being reflected in the performance of the stock market. But amid the optimism, this week we published an in-depth report highlighting…

5th April 2024 4 mins read

India Economics Focus

What could go wrong?

Positivity surrounding India’s near and long-term economic outlook is arguably at its highest in a decade, with good reason. But amid the optimism, it is easy to become complacent to the downside…

3rd April 2024 10 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

Egypt’s path to faster growth, Houthis and Gulf oil output

Egypt’s recent policy shift has been met with a lot of optimism among investors and will likely see its new IMF deal approved by the Executive Board tomorrow. But the policies involve some near-term…

28th March 2024 6 mins read

India Chart Pack

India Chart Pack (Mar. 2024)

Our India Chart Pack has been updated with the latest data and our analysis of recent developments. India retained its title as the world’s fastest-growing major economy last year and the latest data…

26th March 2024 1 min read

Middle East & North Africa Economic Outlook

A soft 2024, but faster growth around the corner

Low oil output in the Gulf will constrain GDP growth over the first half of this year. But as this reverses, growth will pick up and by more than most expect. Elsewhere in Middle East and North Africa…

25th March 2024 20 mins read

Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly

Flexible EGP on the rise, Morocco’s cautious central bank

The Egyptian pound has appreciated by 10% against the dollar in the past couple of weeks since its devaluation, providing hope that the CBE is finally following through with its commitment to a more…

21st March 2024 6 mins read