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More Republicans Appear to be Voting Early

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With two weeks until Election Day, well over 17 million people — roughly a tenth of all registered voters — have already cast their ballots. Many states have set daily records for early voting, offering the clearest sign yet that voting habits were forever changed by the pandemic.

Last presidential election, Democrats dominated the early and mail votes in large part because Donald Trump convinced his supporters that anything but a vote cast in person on Election Day could not be trusted. But this year, the Republican Party has embarked on a multimillion effort to change voters’ minds. And so far, it appears to be working.

Democrats still have a large advantage in early votes in some states, like Pennsylvania, but Republicans are closing the gap. And in North Carolina, which is also a battleground, early voting totals are almost evenly split between the two parties. Take a look at the early votes cast so far in your state.

To be clear, surges in early voting do not necessarily translate into high turnout by Election Day. However, if campaigns know that a voter has already cast their ballot, they can spend their time and money appealing to others.

The Republican uptick comes despite Trump’s mixed messaging on early voting, calling it “stupid stuff” while himself voting early in Florida’s primary. He has repeatedly questioned mail voting in particular, saying without evidence that it is “totally corrupt.”

The presidential election is 14 days away.


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Hashem Safieddine in a southern suburb of Beirut, in August.Credit…Khaled Desouki/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Israel’s military announced today that it had killed Hashem Safieddine, the presumed successor to Hezbollah’s recently assassinated leader. Israeli officials said he was killed in an airstrike early this month that had targeted a meeting of senior Hezbollah leaders.

Western and Israeli officials had identified Safieddine as the man most likely to lead Hezbollah after the killing of its longtime leader, Hassan Nasrallah, who was his cousin. Hezbollah has not yet confirmed his death.

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The I.M.F. chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, at the I.M.F.-World Bank meetings in Washington, today.Credit…Brendan Smialowski/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

Global inflation is poised to continue its downward trajectory and widespread fears of a post-pandemic recession appear to have been averted, the International Monetary Fund said today. But, the I.M.F. added, significant economic threats still remain, including violence in the Middle East.

The strength of the global economy continues to be driven by the U.S., whose growth is outpacing that of the other advanced economies of the Group of 7 nations. The U.S. is already approaching the Fed’s goal of 2 percent annual inflation.

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Ukrainian servicemen load drones onto a truck Kyiv, today.Credit…Sergey Dolzhenko/EPA, via Shutterstock

The U.S. agreed to give Ukraine $800 million in military aid that will go toward manufacturing long-range drones to use against Russian troops. The Ukrainians have long been trying to convince the U.S. to buy weapons from manufacturers in Ukraine instead of primarily in America.

In related news, the U.S. and Europe are close to finalizing a plan to provide Ukraine with a $50 billion loan backed by Russian assets.


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Armando Iannucci.Credit…George Muncey for The New York Times

One of London’s most anticipated upcoming theatrical productions is an adaptation of a movie that came out 60 years ago. That’s largely because it’s being led by the satirical powerhouse Armando Iannucci, who is most famous among Americans for creating “Veep.”

But it doesn’t hurt that the production — a stage adaptation of “Dr. Strangelove,” Stanley Kubrick’s beloved doomsday comedy — focuses on themes that can still resonate. Iannucci insists that, given threats from Russia, Iran and others, laughing at nuclear disaster couldn’t be more timely.

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Credit…The New York Times

At booksellers across the country, a new book called “Karla’s Choice” hit the shelves today having been billed as the latest “John le Carré novel.” But it was not written by le Carré, the famed spy novelist who died in 2020, but rather by his son, Nick Harkaway.

It features George Smiley, le Carré’s best-known character, and tries to fill in the 10-year gap between le Carré’s breakout novel, “The Spy Who Came in From the Cold,” and “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy.” Here’s our review.

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Credit…Amrita Chandradas for The New York Times

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Sarah Jampel’s baked pumpkin pasta.Credit…Linda Xiao for The New York Times

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Credit…Heather Willensky for The New York Times

There are few things New Yorkers like to fight about more than bagels. And the arguments have only become more entrenched as bagels have become bigger, fluffier and less traditional over the last few decades.

So my colleague Becky Hughes went on a quest to find the city’s most remarkable bagels, regardless of variety. Check out her list of the 17 best — some are old-school, others are innovative and a handful are really meant to be eaten as sandwiches. The comments are open for those of you who disagree.

Have a well-rounded evening.


Thanks for reading. I’ll be back tomorrow. — Matthew

Jill Foley was our photo editor today.

We welcome your feedback. Write to us at evening@nytimes.com.

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